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Growth ideasThe business cycle
January 12, 2021

Bitcoin long-term direction: a macro fundamentals contribution

Given the recent interest in cryptocurrencies as a form of alternative investment, together with the…
Raffaella Tenconi
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PoliticsThe business cycle
December 9, 2020

US Senate race: it is not over yet

On the 5th of January, two senate races will be held in the state of Georgia…
Raffaella Tenconi
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PoliticsThe business cycle
November 18, 2020

Eurobarometer: how much trust does the EU hold?

The structural economic downturn of Italy is a positive for CE4 convergence, but will rebalance…
Raffaella Tenconi
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The business cycle
August 12, 2020

The next decade: the inflation cost of QE

We just published our report mapping the inflation developments we expect to see as a…
Raffaella Tenconi
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The business cycle
August 7, 2020

Eurozone: Wage convergence & the continuing decline of Italy

The wage convergence process within the European Union is ongoing and has accelerated partly because…
Raffaella Tenconi
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The business cycle
August 5, 2020

Live interview: EU Recovery Fund – Raffaella Tenconi at Finanza Now (04/08/20)

In our view, the post-COVID19 recovery will be a very slow and long process spanning…
Raffaella Tenconi
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The business cycle
July 27, 2020

Housing market: build back better for the long-term

We are likely to face another decade of quantitative easing and ultra-low interest rates. In…
Raffaella Tenconi
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The business cycle
July 10, 2020

Russia: the RUB remains stable

The result of the constitutional referendum strengthened our view that the RUB will remain well…
Raffaella Tenconi
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The business cycle
June 24, 2020

Underestimating inflation for two decades

Since around 2001 – household surveys say that consumers’ experience with price increases is higher…
Raffaella Tenconi
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The business cycle
June 23, 2020

Keep your eyes on the trend, not the noise

June PMI confirmed further improvement in the recovery, though the picture is not as constructive…
Raffaella Tenconi
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Recent Posts

  • Bitcoin long-term direction: a macro fundamentals contribution January 12, 2021
  • US Senate race: it is not over yet December 9, 2020
  • Eurobarometer: how much trust does the EU hold? November 18, 2020
  • We are delighted to announce our new cooperation with LINKS Analytics November 2, 2020
  • The structural change that genuinely changes everything… but that we do not acknowledge yet September 28, 2020
  • The ECB prefers to duck rather than lead  September 11, 2020
  • Build back better: turn off the noise August 14, 2020
  • The next decade: the inflation cost of QE August 12, 2020
  • Eurozone: Wage convergence & the continuing decline of Italy August 7, 2020
  • Live interview: EU Recovery Fund – Raffaella Tenconi at Finanza Now (04/08/20) August 5, 2020
  • Housing market: build back better for the long-term July 27, 2020
  • Russia: the RUB remains stable July 10, 2020
  • Families & work-life balance: Utopia or potential reality? June 26, 2020
  • Underestimating inflation for two decades June 24, 2020
  • Keep your eyes on the trend, not the noise June 23, 2020

About us

ADA Economics Ltd. is an independent research company focused on Europe within a global context, that provides effective analysis to manage financial risk. We provide currency, sovereign bond yields, residential real estate and stock market projections that reflect our broader economic and political analysis.

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AvatarADA Economics@ada_economics·
14 Jan

Time to revisit the #government plan! #ItaliaViva called for a new approach to the #policy calendar
We think it makes sense, our calculations show that the proposed #RecoveryFund allocation will not yield enough in the long run to fix the negative trend #GDP #growth of #Italy

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Time to revisit the government plan! Italia Viva Time to revisit the government plan! 
Italia Viva called for a new approach to the policy calendar. 

We think it makes sense, our calculations show that the proposed allocation for the Recovery Fund will not yield enough over the long run to correct the negative trend GDP growth that Italy is experiencing.
 
If you are interested in a discussion about the European project evolution, please have a look at the excellent panel proposed by ProiezionidiBorsa at the link in bio 🔗
 
If you are interested in our ideas to boost Italian GDP growth potential, please have a look at our presentation on our website: 
https://www.adaeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/Italy_16Jun2020.pdf
 
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@proiezionidiborsa #politics #macroeconomics #macro_italy #italy #italiaviva #renzi #matteorenzi #recoveryfund #allocation #policy #policies #projections #yield #negativetrend #gdp #trend #growth #recovery #postcovid19 #postcovid19recovery #europe #europeanunion #eu #eurozone #europeanproject #boost #gdpgrowth #adaviews #europeanunion🇪🇺 #italy🇮🇹
US inflation rebounded as we expected, and beware US inflation rebounded as we expected, and beware of a sharp spike ahead as oil base effects will kick in in spring. Beware that 10 year US treasury yields are already too high to be compatible with a strong recovery.

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#macro #macroeconomics #macro_usa #macro_us #macro_europe #eu #eurozone #europeanunion #europe #usa #us #unitedstates #inflation #spike #oil #treasuryyields #treasury #ustreasury #yields #recovery #postcovid19 #postcovidrecovery #cpi #data #dataanalysis #dataanalytics #dataanalyst #adaviews #eurozone🇪🇺 #usa🇺🇸
Industrial sector hiring appetite index in the Eur Industrial sector hiring appetite index in the Eurozone was back to pre-Covid levels in December. That’s partly thanks to the Next Generation EU.

Alas, business sector pricing expectations are also rebounding much more quickly than in the post 2008 crisis.

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#macroeconomics #macro #macro_eu #macro_europe #eu #europeanunion #eurozone #europe #industrial #business #sector #hiring #appetite #index #precovid19 #postcovid19 #data #nextgenerationeu #nextgen #nextgeneration #pricing #expectations #rebounding #rebound #post2008 #2008crisis #postcrisis #adaviews #europeanunion🇪🇺 #eurozone🇪🇺
Given the recent interest in cryptocurrencies as a Given the recent interest in cryptocurrencies as a form of alternative investment, together with the recent volatility in Bitcoin, we have taken the opportunity to unveil our prototype BTC/USD fair value model. 

We started developing this model internally in March 2020, and we have updated it regularly since then, noticing an improvement in its predictive power as the new data points for 2020E were added. 

Read our full analysis at the link in bio! 🔗

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#cryptocurrency #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin #fx #forex #crypto #cryptotrading #cryptoexchange #cryptoinvestor #bitcointrading #bitcoininvestment #investment #invest #investments #investing #forextrading #fxmodel #bitcoinnews #cryptotrader #forexsignals #invest #bitcoinmining #bitcointrade #bitcoinvalue #btcusd #btc #fxmodel #fxsignals #btcmining #macro #macrofundamentals #adaviews
We’re hiring! 💡 We are currently looking for We’re hiring! 💡

We are currently looking for some German speaking Field Researchers to run a study in Germany, for a duration of three weeks.

Visit the link in bio to read the full description and apply! 🔗 
 
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#hiring #fieldresearcher #researcher #fieldwork #survey #germanspeakers #german #germanspeaking #germany
An important and heart-breaking survey from NGO Wo An important and heart-breaking survey from NGO World Vision Romania highlights the very serious implications of protracted lockdowns, and the excessive use of digital tools in children’s education and free time. 

Take a look at the article from Digi24: http://bit.ly/38gYpAj
 
At ADA, we are very aware of the distortions that the current technological leap is generating for countries. We are nowhere near a credible BuildBackBetter if we don’t fundamentally change certain rules and approaches: competition, maternity and education are all in urgent need of a real rethinking, to allow everyone to benefit from low interest rates and digitalisation. What we are doing now, instead, is trying to create an economic recovery built on serious lasting damage to the business structure (affecting SMEs in particular) and the next generation. 
 
Check out our views on maternity policies at the link in bio 🔗

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#economics #politics #buildbackbetter #postcovid19 #economicrecovery #postcovidrecovery #newnormal2020 #ngo #survey #children #kids #education #digitalisation #lockdowns #digitaltools #technologicalleap #tech #competition #maternitypolicies #maternity #policies #lowinterestrates #rethinkingthefuture #rethink #benefitsforall #changeforthebetter #socialchange #changeyourmindset #newapproach  #adaviews @digi24hd @worldvisionro
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