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The business cycle
November 8, 2019

Mis-measuring inflation

A recent article on Bloomberg reminds us that Eurozone inflation is probably underestimating the overall…
Raffaella Tenconi
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EU Flag
Politics
May 22, 2019

Can the EU solve its autocrat problem?

https://www.ft.com/content/eaabd394-7bbd-11e9-81d2-f785092ab560 Yes, it can. However, to do so, it must come to terms with some…
Raffaella Tenconi
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Changing Europe
Politics
April 4, 2019

A Changing Europe Monitor – Brexit: Now or never

The electorate is upset about the Brexit process, but continues to trust the Conservative party…
Raffaella Tenconi
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Brexit
Politics
March 13, 2019

Politics – UK: Brexit, as disorderly as it gets

The UK parliament has voted down the Brexit deal negotiated by Prime Minister May for…
Raffaella Tenconi
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RUS Debt
Politics
February 21, 2019

Politics – Russia: Globally assertive, improving locally

We see the dispute between Europe, the US and Russia as a long-lasting one, which…
Raffaella Tenconi
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Recent Posts

  • Bitcoin long-term direction: a macro fundamentals contribution January 12, 2021
  • US Senate race: it is not over yet December 9, 2020
  • Eurobarometer: how much trust does the EU hold? November 18, 2020
  • We are delighted to announce our new cooperation with LINKS Analytics November 2, 2020
  • The structural change that genuinely changes everything… but that we do not acknowledge yet September 28, 2020
  • The ECB prefers to duck rather than lead  September 11, 2020
  • Build back better: turn off the noise August 14, 2020
  • The next decade: the inflation cost of QE August 12, 2020
  • Eurozone: Wage convergence & the continuing decline of Italy August 7, 2020
  • Live interview: EU Recovery Fund – Raffaella Tenconi at Finanza Now (04/08/20) August 5, 2020
  • Housing market: build back better for the long-term July 27, 2020
  • Russia: the RUB remains stable July 10, 2020
  • Families & work-life balance: Utopia or potential reality? June 26, 2020
  • Underestimating inflation for two decades June 24, 2020
  • Keep your eyes on the trend, not the noise June 23, 2020

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ADA Economics Ltd. is an independent research company focused on Europe within a global context, that provides effective analysis to manage financial risk. We provide currency, sovereign bond yields, residential real estate and stock market projections that reflect our broader economic and political analysis.

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13 Apr

Our Founder & MD @RA_Tenconi has been invited to the next @WinTradeGlobal Talk! Join us on Thursday 15th at 12.30 GMT

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House price inflation has stayed robust despite Co House price inflation has stayed robust despite Covid-19 and we expect it to accelerate further. 

There is an interesting paper from the CNB discussing the commercial real estate market, which in their view is showing signs of overheating. 
Have a look at their report (pg 15) - link in bio 🔗

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#economics #macroeconomics #czech #czechrepublic #macro_czech #houseprices #inflation #realestate #commercialrealestate #realestatemarket #estatemarket #overheating #misalignment #cnb #report #signals #cee #centralbank #czechcentralbank #data #analysis #model #dataanalysis #dataanalytics #dataanalyst #houses #housing #housingmarket #adaviews #czechrepublic🇨🇿
15 of the 27 EU member states have higher poverty 15 of the 27 EU member states have higher poverty rates among the very young (under 16 yrs old) than among retirees (over 65yrs old). 

Only Germany and Poland get credit for having reversed that in the 10 years after the 2008 crisis (though in Germany poverty among older people has risen notwithstanding the economic boom seen since the last crisis!).

In Luxemburg and Sweden poverty rates among the young have risen since 2008 – despite being two wealthy countries with ample policy independence.

So how much longer should we wait before maternity policies are not just discussed, but actually turned into a real priority?

Read our proposal and tell us your view! Link in bio 🔗

——
#macroeconomics #poverty #socialexclusion #younggeneration #oldgeneration #nextgeneration #europe #eurozone #eu #europeanunion #belgium🇧🇪 #denmark🇩🇰 #germany🇩🇪 #ireland🇮🇪 #spain🇪🇸 #france🇫🇷 #italy🇮🇹 #luxembourg🇱🇺 #hungary🇭🇺 #austria🇦🇹 #poland🇵🇱 #portugal🇵🇹 #romania🇹🇩 #slovakia🇸🇰 #sweden🇸🇪 #montenegro🇲🇪 #northmacedonia🇲🇰 #serbia🇷🇸 #turkey🇹🇷 #europe🇪🇺
We are proud to announce the launch of the ADA Eco We are proud to announce the launch of the ADA Economics app: a free mobile-friendly platform, to share our analysis and facilitate interaction with our team. 

This app is designed for clients and panellists’ use, to inform and increase dialogue on the financial, economic and political developments affecting Europe, its citizens and its financial markets. 
Here, we publish daily comments and charts on European economics and politics, which are accessible to Premium Members only and are renewed every 24 hours. 
Once logged in, we encourage you to ask us questions using the app and engage with our team as often as you like. 

Download the app on the Google Play Store and join the ADA Panel to gain access to our updates, share them with your colleagues, or download and add them to your presentations. 

Please, visit our website for more details about our company and how to join our panel - link in bio 🔗

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#adaviews #ada #app #application #economics #politics #finance #financialanalysis #macro #macroeconomics #macroanalysis #analysis #outlook #trends #signals #financialmarkets #fx #foreignexchange #europe #emea #cee #dailyupdates #comments #charts #panel #ada_app #ada_panel #googleplaystore #googleplay #adaeconomics
The fiscal stimulus just passed by the Biden admin The fiscal stimulus just passed by the Biden administration will help with the immediate fall out of the Covid-19 epidemic, but it is not yet tackling the deeper problem of inequality of gender and race. 

BuildBackBetter needs some serious investment in childcare support – around the clock 365 days a year – and emotional and professional support especially for women. 

Read our presentation on maternity policies for more insights and tell us your view! Link in bio 🔗

——
#economics #macro #macroeconomics #macro_usa #us #usa #buildbackbetter #covid_19 #postcovid19 #recovery #maternitypolicies #maternity #policies #inequality #gender #race #genderinequality #raceinequality #investment #investinchildren #investinwomen #supportchildren #supportwomen #supportfamilies #childcare #childcaresupport #biden2020 #changeforthebetter #adaviews #unitedstates🇺🇸
Czech Republic: further room for CZK appreciation Czech Republic: further room for CZK appreciation vs EUR.
Don’t expect major moves, but steady gentle appreciation should do it.

——
#economics #fx #foreignexchange #forex #fxanalysis #eurczk #czk #eur #fxmodel #fxscenario #fxsignals #forexmarkets #fxtrading #fxtrader #forexnews #forexsignals #forextrade #forexanalysis #forexczech #fxczech #fxforecast #fxoutlook #czechkoruna #czech #czechrepublic #europe #eu #euro #europeanunion🇪🇺 #czechrepublic🇨🇿
Time to revisit the government plan! Italia Viva Time to revisit the government plan! 
Italia Viva called for a new approach to the policy calendar. 

We think it makes sense, our calculations show that the proposed allocation for the Recovery Fund will not yield enough over the long run to correct the negative trend GDP growth that Italy is experiencing.
 
If you are interested in a discussion about the European project evolution, please have a look at the excellent panel proposed by ProiezionidiBorsa at the link in bio 🔗
 
If you are interested in our ideas to boost Italian GDP growth potential, please have a look at our presentation on our website: 
https://www.adaeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/Italy_16Jun2020.pdf
 
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@proiezionidiborsa #politics #macroeconomics #macro_italy #italy #italiaviva #renzi #matteorenzi #recoveryfund #allocation #policy #policies #projections #yield #negativetrend #gdp #trend #growth #recovery #postcovid19 #postcovid19recovery #europe #europeanunion #eu #eurozone #europeanproject #boost #gdpgrowth #adaviews #europeanunion🇪🇺 #italy🇮🇹
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