December 5, 2018
A changing Europe monitor: The year ahead
We are halfway through the worst part of the business cycle, in our view. Activity…
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November 2, 2018
Eurozone: Business cycle update: halfway through the worst .
In our view, we are about halfway through the worst phase of the business cycle…
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November 2, 2018
War strategies: Arab Spring 2.0?
Back in 2011, we saw significant social and political unrest as a result of rising…
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October 24, 2018
Germany: The defeat of Merkel
The German growth model needs changing We travelled around Germany over August and September to…
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October 19, 2018
Germany: Implications of the elections in Bavaria
The recent elections in Bavaria confirmed the erosion of support for the traditional parties: both…
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October 19, 2018
UK: Conservatives keep the lead, but no deal risk rises
Two things have caught our attention recently. First, the speeches at the party congresses held…
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October 12, 2018
Trade wars: what does the “new NAFTA” tell us?
In our previous note on trade wars, we argued that trade disputes have a similar…
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September 24, 2018
A Changing Europe Monitor: EU Politics & the Budget
The European Union and its institutions are critically important for the welfare of its 500m…
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September 14, 2018
France: Macron’s approval rating drop is a key change for France and the EU
Macron’s approval rating drop is a key change for France and the EU. According to…
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September 14, 2018
Germany: trip notes from Berlin and other paradoxes
We visited Germany recently as we are coming to the end of our field study…
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